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The Nelson A. Rockefeller Institute of Government

Sunday, November 23, 2014
The Nelson A. Rockefeller Institute of Government
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Growing Volatility in State Tax Revenue Is Driving 

Forecasting Errors
  • Wisconsin at Crossroads for Health Care Reform
  • “April Surprises” Left Many States with Bad News
  • Election Law Reform: Is Now the Time?Click to view the video of this recent Forum.
  • State Governments Leverage Higher Education in 

International Engagement
  • After Four Years of Uninterrupted Growth, States Reported Declines in Tax Collections
  • Politics of  Sea Level RiseSea level rise in the Northeast is a regional problem that requires a coordinated regional response.
  • Poverty, Innovation, and Evidence-Based Policymaking in NYCIn a new report, the Rockefeller Institute analyzed the New York City Center for Economic Opportunity.
  • New Report on Underfunding of Public Pensions
  • Recent Forums & EventsDownload handouts or watch video from past events.
  • Upcoming ForumsAfter Four Years of Uninterrupted Growth, Tax Revenues Decline in the First Quarter

Our Latest...

Senior Fellow Swati Desai and Director Thomas Gais both delivered papers at the 2014 Fall Research Conference of the Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management (APPAM), held in Albuquerque, NM, on November 6-8. Dr. Desai, who also serves on APPAM’s policy council, presented “WorkFirst Works for Single Homeless Men,” based on an evaluation RIG conducted in New York City. Dr. Gais presented “Trialing for the Public Good: Building Effective Programs from the Ground Up,” which discusses the potential for continuous, small-scale experimentation in the public sector.
WorkFirst Works Paper           Trialing for the Public Good Paper

Despite State Tax Collection Declines, Trends Point Upward in the Third Quarter

Total state tax collections declined by 1.2 percent in the second quarter of 2014 after softening significantly in the second half of 2013 and the first quarter of 2014. Despite this downward trend, preliminary data for the July-September 2014 quarter suggest that relatively strong growth is projected in overall tax collections and personal income tax collections for the third quarter of 2014.
Report            News Release

Growing Volatility in State Tax Revenue Is Driving Forecasting Errors

According to a new technical report released by the Nelson A. Rockefeller Institute of Government, increases in state revenue forecasting errors during the recent recession were driven by increases in revenue volatility. The report discusses how revenue forecasting errors have changed in recent years and examines the relationship between revenue forecasting accuracy and (1) tax revenue volatility, (2) timing and frequency of forecasts, and (3) forecasting institutions and processes.
Report            News Release

ACA banner

ACA Implementation Research Network

Seventeen Baseline Reports In, with More to Come

C-Span image
The Rockefeller Institute of SUNY, the Brookings Institution, and the Fels Institute of the University of Pennsylvania are coordinating a network of indigenous field researchers in 36 states to analyze the implementation of the Affordable Care Act. The Network aims to provide accessible, user-friendly, clear, and objective reports that can assist the public, governments, service providers, and experts in the process of reforming American health care. To date, 17 baseline state reports have been published, along with two regional overview reports on state experiences in the West and the South. More reports will be uploaded soon. To access the reports and other information on this long-term project, including C-SPAN coverage of our recent release of reports on the southern states, go to the Network’s website at the following link:

(click here)

ACA Implementation Research Network

State Governments Leverage Higher Education in International Engagement

In an illuminating new report, Rockefeller Institute Senior Fellow Jason Lane and colleagues Taya Owens and Patrick Ziegler analyze the emerging role that states play in promoting the internationalization of higher education institutions. Through these efforts, the researchers suggest, colleges and universities engaged in international activity strengthen economic development and public diplomacy.
Report            News Release

About the Open Health Data, Open Opportunities Workshop

How can releasing millions of data points improve the health of New Yorkers? This interactive workshop brought together researchers and practitioners to explore how open health data can be a viable new resource for health research and developing innovative health interventions.
Workshop website

Political Cooperation in Tackling Sea Level Rise Unlikely

Sea level rise in the Northeast is a regional problem that requires a coordinated regional response. In this report, Rockefeller Institute Senior Fellow James W. Fossett and University of Buffalo Research Professor Kathryn Friedman examine the possibilities for coordinated regional action to address this difficult problem in the aftermath of Superstorm Sandy.

Solar Power Offers Greater Resilience in Severe Weather

In this Observation piece by University at Albany Atmospheric Sciences Research Center, Rockefeller College of Public Affairs and Policy, and Rockefeller Institute researchers, the advantages of solar power are explored as a means of mitigating long-term power outages resulting from more prevalent severe weather occurrences. This proposed solution, the authors suggest, may be particularly vital in the Northeast, a region identified by climate researchers as a “hot spot” for an increase in severe weather events.